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Of course, the outlook is not all bad. Some of you will find good jobs — those who have used your time wisely, by studying science and engineering. It’s only the rest of you who are screwed. […] As to journalism, there are a few skills you need to know, which you could pick up in an afternoon; the rest is undifferentiated. You look. You ask questions. You think. And you tell the world what you come up with. No college necessary. In fact, college may hinder you. Instead of using your own eyes and your own brain, and developing your own way of looking at things, you spent your best years in class absorbing the claptrap du jour of the mainstream media. […] Others among you have read popular novels or a few history books. You think you know something. Maybe you call yourself a historian. Or perhaps a literary critic. My advice is to keep that to yourself. You have paid a lot of money for something that millions of other people — just as smart as you are — do for a hobby or past-time. There’s not much real knowledge in either of those things…just opinions and ideas which are more vanity and entertainment than genuine learning. […] Same thing for those who have spent years studying ‘politics’ or ‘economics.’ Drop the pretense that you know something. You don’t. All you have is a full plate of opinions…most of them preposterous…and most of them indigestible by a thoughtful person.
It is easier to be smart than to be good; that’s why there are so many smart people, and so few good ones. Smart men get elected to high office. They run major corporations.They write editorials for the newspaper. Pity the poor good man; he goes to parties and has nothing to say that is not mocking and cynical. Others talk about their smart deals, their smart ideas, their smart plans and successes. Women crowd around them; a smart man grows taller as he speaks.The good man shrinks.

Bonner, W. & Wiggin, A. (2009). The New Empire of Debt: The Rise and Fall of an Epic Financial Bubble.

Remember that a system is not defined by the name it gives itself, but by how the power relationships actually work behind the scenes. Thus, Iraq may call itself a democracy, but in truth it is a sectarian “thugocracy” that barely keeps order

Robert D. Kaplan

Very few beings really seek knowledge in this world. Mortal or immortal, few really ask. On the contrary, they try to wring from the unknown the answers they have already shaped in their own minds — justifications, confirmations, forms of consolation without which they can’t go on. To really ask is to open the door to the whirlwind. The answer may annihilate the question and the questioner.

Anne Rice

Any man who has had teenage children will tell you to be suspicious of logic, for as soon as a teenager gets the hang of it, his sense of reason seems to leave him — and doesn’t return for at least five or six years. Or, if he takes up politics, law, or economics, it may never return. “If there really were a God,” says the teenager triumphantly, “He wouldn’t let there be people starving, He wouldn’t allow Bush to kill people, and He wouldn’t make me do homework on Friday night.” But we’ve been around long enough to believe that God can do any damned thing He wants, even if it makes no sense to a 15-year-old.

Bonner, W. & Rajiva, L. (2007). Mobs, Messiahs, and Markets: Surviving the Public Spectacle in Finance and Politics

As we said, the older we get, the less we know about anything; the more facts, opinions, and ideas we collect, the less sure we are of any of them.

Bonner, W. & Rajiva, L. (2007). Mobs, Messiahs, and Markets: Surviving the Public Spectacle in Finance and Politics

The single man, on the other hand, is a desperado. Adolf Hitler and Joseph Stalin were, effectively, single. So was Alexander the Great. They had no private lives; they had perforce to make public spectacles of themselves. The single man still feels the need to be a conqueror — of women or of men — by seduction or by brute force. That is why the public generally elects family men to high office; they don’t trust the lone wolf. That may be one reason why George W. Bush — a married man — is likely to be denied the success that more notorious, and single, world improvers have had.

Bonner, W. & Rajiva, L. (2007). Mobs, Messiahs, and Markets: Surviving the Public Spectacle in Finance and Politics

We see people reading “The World Is Flat” numbly on airplanes. […] For a long time, we couldn’t bring ourselves to read the book, but finally we did. As expected, it is suitable only for children … and only for them to sit on or club each other over the head with.

Bonner, W. & Rajiva, L. (2007). Mobs, Messiahs, and Markets: Surviving the Public Spectacle in Finance and Politics

The truth is that no risk-control gimmick however complex, can protect a whole market for the simple reason that the whole market cannot outperform itself. The more people climb onto an investment platform - whether it is derivatives, dot-coms, dollars… or dirigibles - the more it creaks and cracks. [Ed. FAZ?]

Bonner, W. & Rajiva, L. (2007). Mobs, Messiahs, and Markets: Surviving the Public Spectacle in Finance and Politics

You may tear apart the baby’s rattle and see what makes the noise inside, but there is a veil covering the unseen world which not the strongest man, nor even the united strength of all the strongest men that ever lived, could tear apart. Only faith, fancy, poetry, love, romance, can push aside that curtain and view and picture the supernal beauty and glory beyond. Is it all real? Ah, VIRGINIA, in all this world there is nothing else real and abiding.

Francis Pharcellus Church

There is enough uncertainty in entrepreneurship without adding inflation, deflation, interest rates and exchange rates to the list of barriers standing in the way of innovation. The U.S. economy as guided by the Fed has seen continual asset bubbles, crashes, panics, booms and busts in the forty years since the United States left gold. It is time to diminish the role of finance and empower the role of commerce.

James G. Rickards

[…] people who are interested in making the best possible decisions rarely are confident that they have the best possible answers.

Ray Dalio

Independent

I have yet to hear about a single contemporary “independent” thinker that doesn’t actually have a circle of close friends inside of which critical thinking is abolished as a courtesy.

Writing advice

If you think that you have something to say, you should first write a (private) draft. Then, you should read it by trying to understand what the hell you were trying to say. Then rewrite it, by dropping all of the fluff and by keeping only what it was that you were trying to say. You might be surprised to find this second version is much, much shorter. You might even be surprised to find out you’re left with something not even worth saying. Most people failing to heed this advice is probably why there’s a bubble in books (also blogs etc.). And why most books are not even worth the paper they’re printed on. People that are not highly selective about the books they’ll be spending their time on (reading) are also people that are extremely deficient in thinking. Strive for clarity and don’t fool yourself because your readers (at least the intelligent ones) won’t be fooled: if you think that something you just wrote is smart/stylish/etc. it’s probably more of a sign you’re confused (and so will be your readers - at least, the intelligent ones will be confused).

Happy-Go-Lucky

When the system you are a part of is too big (and for the record, everything became too big ever since the entire humanity stopped living in groups of < 100 people not so long ago - oh, and there’s no going back) you do not even need to consciously choose immorality (or unconsciously choose what most would deem immoral) in order to do harm. Hence, the perversity of the happy-go-lucky attitude.

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